Big data integration shows Australian bush-fire frequency is increasing significantly

نویسندگان

  • Ritaban Dutta
  • Aruneema Das
  • Jagannath Aryal
چکیده

Increasing Australian bush-fire frequencies over the last decade has indicated a major climatic change in coming future. Understanding such climatic change for Australian bush-fire is limited and there is an urgent need of scientific research, which is capable enough to contribute to Australian society. Frequency of bush-fire carries information on spatial, temporal and climatic aspects of bush-fire events and provides contextual information to model various climate data for accurately predicting future bush-fire hot spots. In this study, we develop an ensemble method based on a two-layered machine learning model to establish relationship between fire incidence and climatic data. In a 336 week data trial, we demonstrate that the model provides highly accurate bush-fire incidence hot-spot estimation (91% global accuracy) from the weekly climatic surfaces. Our analysis also indicates that Australian weekly bush-fire frequencies increased by 40% over the last 5 years, particularly during summer months, implicating a serious climatic shift.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

A Review on Bush Encroachment Effect on Cattle Rearing in Rangelands

Bush encroachment is an increase in woody plant density typically resulting in impenetrable thickets, suppressing palatable grasses and herbs. Moreover, bush encroachment is a globally observed phenomenon. Besides, increasing the density of unpalatable shrubs and trees has reduced the carrying capacity and threatens the sustainability of grazing animal production, especially in arid and semi-ar...

متن کامل

Different Fire Frequency Impacts Over 27 Years on Vegetation Succession in an Infertile Old-Field Grassland

We examined the effect of fire on vegetation composition with the use of an experiment with four different fire frequencies (annual, 2-yr interval, 4-yr interval, and an intended control with no burning) over a 27-yr period in an infertile, old-field grassland at the Cedar Creek Ecosystem Science Reserve, located in Minnesota, United States. We measured the plant species’ aboveground biomass in...

متن کامل

Characterising Bush Fires in Australia’s Top End using MODIS Active Fire Observations

This study used MODIS active fire detections and associated fire radiative power estimates to characterise bush fires in the savanna region of Australia’s Northern Territory. In contrast to other sensors MODIS has dedicated fire channels that rarely saturate over fires, enabling fire detections during the day and estimates of fire radiative power. Using number of dayand night-time fire detectio...

متن کامل

Meeting the Challenge of Diabetes in China

China’s estimated 114 million people with diabetes pose a massive challenge for China’s health policy-makers who have significantly extended health insurance coverage over the past decade. What China is doing now, what it has achieved, and what remains to be done should be of interest to health policy-makers, worldwide. We identify the challenges posed by China’s two pr...

متن کامل

Determining Effective Factors on Forest Fire Using the Compound of Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline and Genetic Algorithm, a Case Study: Golestan, Iran

Determining Effective Factors on Forest Fire Using the Compound of Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline and Genetic Algorithm, a Case Study: Golestan, Iran    Pahlavani, P., Assistant professor at School of Surveying and Geospatial Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran Raei, A., PhD Candidate of GIS at School of Surveying and Geospatial Engineering, College of Engineeri...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره 3  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2016